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North Korea tested a nukeFollow

#77 Oct 09 2006 at 12:04 PM Rating: Excellent
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Pumpkin Lörd Kaolian wrote:
Did anyone else see the reported test yield of the device they detonated? If that is anywhere near accurate, it's way smaller than the hiroshima bomb, or even the initial manhattan project tests. I'm wondering if they didn't scale down that pakistani design they have and try to make a uranium based missile capable warhead. You would get a better yield using conventional explosives at that scale, but the alure of a missile launchable warhead might prompt them to go that route, since they don't have plutonium facilities.

That or maybe they detonated a large mass of conventional explosives and made a dirty bomb to give off enough radiation to be detectable. Its either that, or they really botched their bomb design.



I've seen conflicting reports about the size of the explosion, and nothing at all about whether it was supplemented by conventional explosives.

Russia reported that the explosion itself was roughly equivalent to the Hiroshima bomb.
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#78 Oct 09 2006 at 12:05 PM Rating: Excellent
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Pumpkin Lörd Kaolian wrote:
Did anyone else see the reported test yield of the device they detonated? If that is anywhere near accurate, it's way smaller than the hiroshima bomb, or even the initial manhattan project tests.
Rather small from what I read.

The size of the bomb is uncertain. South Korean reports put it as low as 550 tons of destructive power but Russia said it was between five and 15 kilotons. The Hiroshima bomb of 1945 was 12.5-15 kilotons. -- CTV.ca
Quote:
That or maybe they detonated a large mass of conventional explosives and made a dirty bomb to give off enough radiation to be detectable. Its either that, or they really botched their bomb design.
Maybe and I'm in no way qualified to guess. On another forum, the feeling seemed to be that moving that much conventional explosive would be noticed by satellite and the most likely explanation was that this was a nuclear blast of some or fashion but I'd be out of my depth to debate the point.
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#79 Oct 09 2006 at 12:11 PM Rating: Excellent
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the Grinnin' Kitten wrote:
Mr. Winky.

You mean he's not British? I just assumed that with the huge red nose and bad hair that he was a limey.


Mr Winky is a citizen of one nation under funk.
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#80 Oct 09 2006 at 12:14 PM Rating: Decent
NephthysWanderer the Charming wrote:
Especially so by foreigners.


Yeah, damn foreigners.

It's even like they have to live with the consequences of what the US government does or anything...

Bastards.
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#81 Oct 09 2006 at 12:14 PM Rating: Excellent
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Samira wrote:
Mr Winky is a citizen of one nation under funk.


Can he get me George Clinton's autograph?

#82 Oct 09 2006 at 12:20 PM Rating: Decent
Fun Fact: The US is still legally at war with North Korea. An armistice was declared in 1953 but a treaty was never signed.

Just in case anyone was wondering.
#83 Oct 09 2006 at 1:32 PM Rating: Decent
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NephthysWanderer the Charming wrote:
And everyone's suggestions are....?

bohdi and Ambrya, you seem to have the biggest mouths here....why don't you explain to us what we do and how you plan to do it. You know, to fix everything.


It's all well and good to take an utterly unfixable situation and say, "You can't fix it?! Psh! STFU then" to get your little ego-**** of the day. Have at it, Neph, if it helps wash the bitter aftertaste of "I was wrong all along" out of your mouth.

Here's the thing: the situation is completely irredeemable at this point. There is no fixing it. It's been f'ucked up too damn badly. So, no, I have no ideas for how to fix it. I think that's completely impossible.

However, along the way, people like Bhodi and myself have had plenty of ideas for how to AVOID having this situation become a completely, irreparably f'ucked up situation--like, oh, not going to war against a country that didn't actually pose any threat to us, at the cost of taking our eye off the ball with regards to the countries that COULD--but no one wanted to hear those at the time. And now it's too late.

So, for my part, I feel completely justified in sitting back, crossing my arms, and enjoying a nice tall glass of "I told you so" until the sky does, in fact, fall.

#84 Oct 09 2006 at 1:35 PM Rating: Decent
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I was wrong? I don't remember doing anything. Odd.

Irredeemable, yet still worth ******** about?

Good attitude though. Enjoy the show.
#85 Oct 09 2006 at 1:40 PM Rating: Good
North Korea should really elect a different leader.
#86 Oct 09 2006 at 1:41 PM Rating: Decent
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Grandfather Barkingturtle wrote:
North Korea should really elect a different leader.


Maybe they need to Rock the Vote. Or Vote or Die. Or Vote Kim or Die. One of the three.
#87 Oct 09 2006 at 2:15 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Pumpkin Lörd Kaolian wrote:
Did anyone else see the reported test yield of the device they detonated? If that is anywhere near accurate, it's way smaller than the hiroshima bomb, or even the initial manhattan project tests.
Rather small from what I read.

The size of the bomb is uncertain. South Korean reports put it as low as 550 tons of destructive power but Russia said it was between five and 15 kilotons. The Hiroshima bomb of 1945 was 12.5-15 kilotons. -- CTV.ca
Quote:
That or maybe they detonated a large mass of conventional explosives and made a dirty bomb to give off enough radiation to be detectable. Its either that, or they really botched their bomb design.
Maybe and I'm in no way qualified to guess. On another forum, the feeling seemed to be that moving that much conventional explosive would be noticed by satellite and the most likely explanation was that this was a nuclear blast of some or fashion but I'd be out of my depth to debate the point.


You know we could go over there and ask;

US: Hey Neighbor!
NK: Why you want?
US: Well I just wondering if I could borrow a cup of sugar. Wife is making brownies. Her special recipe if you know what I mean. *wink*
NK: Cup o' soograr? What hell is brownee? We have no soograr now beat it for I call cops. Your dog **** on lawn agin. I have him killed.
US: Ah yeah sorry about Sparky, he's supposed to **** on France's grass. Say you wouldn't happen to exploded a nuke in your backyard did you?
NK: You be rearly sorry. You'll see. I make boom. *slams door*
#88 Oct 09 2006 at 2:46 PM Rating: Good
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Ambrya wrote:
Here's the thing: the situation is completely irredeemable at this point. There is no fixing it. It's been f'ucked up too damn badly. So, no, I have no ideas for how to fix it. I think that's completely impossible.


Ever consider that the "situation" really hasn't changed? The only difference is that today you *know* that it's fucked up, wheras in past years you were blissfully ignorant?

Just a thought. It just seems to me that a lot of people mistake the revelation/realization that something is screwed up for the actual ******** up itself. Can you honestly argue that had Gore won in 2000, or Kerry in 2004, that we'd not be sitting here discussing the ramifications of a NK nuclear test? I know it's popular to "blame everything on Bush", but that really seemms like a stretch given the history of NK's nuclear program.

Quote:
However, along the way, people like Bhodi and myself have had plenty of ideas for how to AVOID having this situation become a completely, irreparably f'ucked up situation--like, oh, not going to war against a country that didn't actually pose any threat to us, at the cost of taking our eye off the ball with regards to the countries that COULD--but no one wanted to hear those at the time. And now it's too late.


Do you *really* think that had anything to do with NK's nuclear program? Let's recap. NK was sneaking uranium and plutonium out of its reactors back in the 90s. It specifically promised the Clinton administration that it wouldn't do that anymore if we helped them build a light water reactor. We can debate why they violated that agreement, but the fact is that they did. And they did so before Bush took office. You can't sanely blame NK's development of nuclear weapons on Bush. At best, you can blame Bush for the fact that they choose to openly declare that they had nukes and to test one.

But then that takes us back to a difference merely in knowing the situation. It does not actually change it at all. Head in sand and all of that. Personally, I'd rather we know then not, but that's just me...

Quote:
So, for my part, I feel completely justified in sitting back, crossing my arms, and enjoying a nice tall glass of "I told you so" until the sky does, in fact, fall.


Pray for a disaster to occur. Great plan!

Can you see the flaw in that approach?
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#89 Oct 09 2006 at 2:51 PM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
You can't sanely blame NK's development of nuclear weapons on Bush. At best, you can blame Bush for the fact that they choose to openly declare that they had nukes and to test one.


Wow man, take a deep breath. No one is blaming Bush for NK's nukes.
#90 Oct 09 2006 at 3:11 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Do you *really* think that had anything to do with NK's nuclear program? Let's recap. NK was sneaking uranium and plutonium out of its reactors back in the 90s.
Since the 80's, actually.
Gbaji wrote:
It specifically promised the Clinton administration that it wouldn't do that anymore if we helped them build a light water reactor. We can debate why they violated that agreement, but the fact is that they did.
If we're judging the history of N. Korea's nuclear program, we can't simply brush off the reasons why N. Korea was so willing to violate the agreement. Both sides violated the agreement and I don't think that you can accurately use it as a measure for how N. Korea would have reacted if we had at least held our end. Maybe the same, maybe different, maybe a much slower development.. who knows. At the very least, had we begun construction of the promised reactors back in the mid-90's, we would have had an immediate bargining chip to force N. Korea to allow the inspections they promised. And I'll place that decision onto the Clinton administration for not following through just as I'll place blame on the Bush administration for exacerbating the situation further.
gbaji wrote:
And they did so before Bush took office. You can't sanely blame NK's development of nuclear weapons on Bush. At best, you can blame Bush for the fact that they choose to openly declare that they had nukes and to test one.
I'll agree to that. North Korea had an active nuclear program in the 1980's under Reagan & Bush Sr's watch. Clinton probably slowed it down some but failed to follow through. Bush undid what good Clinton did managed to accomplish and then threw additional brush on the fire by declaring N. Korea part of the Axis of Evil and then invading another "Axis" nation to overthrow its regime.

I'll repeat what I said before and ask what Bush planned to accomplish with that. There's at least a dozen reasons why no sane president would invade N. Korea militarily so (in my view) either Bush was obviously bluffing and proving himself to be a paper tiger or else trying to convince N. Korea that he was mentally unhinged enough to attack Korea.
Quote:
But then that takes us back to a difference merely in knowing the situation. It does not actually change it at all.
If it proves anything, it proves that N. Korea has now produced enough weapons to start using them for testing. If you only have one bomb put together, you don't use it to blow up a coal mine to see what happens. It also allows them to further refine their weapons development by seeing how the testing goes. It's not a big a moment as actually developing their first weapon but it is a significant moment.

Edited, Oct 9th 2006 at 4:12pm PDT by Jophiel
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#91 Oct 09 2006 at 3:18 PM Rating: Good
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MentalFrog wrote:

US: Hey Neighbor!
NK: Why you want?
US: Well I just wondering if I could borrow a cup of sugar. Wife is making brownies. Her special recipe if you know what I mean. *wink*
NK: Cup o' soograr? What hell is brownee? We have no soograr now beat it for I call cops. Your dog **** on lawn agin. I have him killed.
US: Ah yeah sorry about Sparky, he's supposed to **** on France's grass. Say you wouldn't happen to exploded a nuke in your backyard did you?
NK: You be rearly sorry. You'll see. I make boom. *slams door*
Smiley: lol

And that's why I stick around
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#92 Oct 09 2006 at 3:44 PM Rating: Good
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Quote:
gbaji wrote:

You can't sanely blame NK's development of nuclear weapons on Bush. At best, you can blame Bush for the fact that they choose to openly declare that they had nukes and to test one.

Wow man, take a deep breath. No one is blaming Bush for NK's nukes.



Um... In the very post I quoted earlier.

Ambra wrote:
However, along the way, people like Bhodi and myself have had plenty of ideas for how to AVOID having this situation become a completely, irreparably f'ucked up situation--like, oh, not going to war against a country that didn't actually pose any threat to us, at the cost of taking our eye off the ball with regards to the countries that COULD--but no one wanted to hear those at the time. And now it's too late.


Sure looks like Abrya is blaming Bush's involvement in Iraq for NK's development of nukes.

I also recall someone else saying something about how if we'd not called them part of the "axis of evil", maybe it wouldn't have happened either.


But hey! No one's blaming Bush, right?...
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#93 Oct 09 2006 at 3:48 PM Rating: Excellent
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You recall wrong. The only two folks to use the term "Axis of Evil" were myself and Jawbox. My quote was:
I wrote:
This was Bush's answer to what the Republicans considered a failure on the part of Clinton. Declare N. Korea part of the "Axis of Evil" and sword rattle at Kim Jong-Il and expect him to back down. It didn't work.
I mentioned it again a few posts up but added enough context that if that's really all you got from it... well, there's no helping you.
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#94 Oct 09 2006 at 4:24 PM Rating: Good
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Ambrya is still one more then "no one" Joph.


And in the context of a whole argument about how things could have been handled differently, I think mentioning that Bush's actions were "wrong" is still relevant. Several people kept talking about how "we" screwed up our foreign policy and that's why NK has nukes. Several other's pointed out how that's easy to say when you don't have an alternative solution.

Was anyone really not aware that this was yet another "Bush screwed it up! Well, Dem's don't have a better solution!" argument? Cause it sure looked that way to me...
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King Nobby wrote:
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#95 Oct 09 2006 at 4:31 PM Rating: Excellent
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Ambrya is still one more then "no one" Joph.
She didn't use the phrase "Axis of Evil" which was what my response was directed towards. I thought it was clear enough.

Of course we're discussing "our" policy. We were trying to keep N. Korea from getting nuclear weapons (or building further upon the program they do have). It hasn't worked. I'd say looking at our actions leading up to this failure might be worth the look-see, don't you?
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Belkira wrote:
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#96 Oct 09 2006 at 4:57 PM Rating: Good
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Ah. So you ignored the direct quote in which I showed that in fact "someone" (as opposed to "no one") had blamed Bush for the current state of NK, and went off about the "also I recall" part of the post.

You're kidding right?
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King Nobby wrote:
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#97 Oct 09 2006 at 5:23 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
I also recall someone else saying something about how if we'd not called them part of the "axis of evil", maybe it wouldn't have happened either.
You didn't recall someone else saying that because it never happened.

That's all. Settle down there, cowboy Smiley: laughSmiley: laughSmiley: laugh
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Belkira wrote:
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#98 Oct 09 2006 at 6:02 PM Rating: Good
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Um. Way to miss the forest for the trees there Joph.

Let's recap. When Git said:

Quote:
Wow man, take a deep breath. No one is blaming Bush for NK's nukes.



He was wrong. Yes or no?

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King Nobby wrote:
More words please
#99 Oct 09 2006 at 6:03 PM Rating: Excellent
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Smiley: laughSmiley: laughSmiley: laugh
Smiley: lolSmiley: lolSmiley: lol
Smiley: laughSmiley: laughSmiley: laugh
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Belkira wrote:
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#100 Oct 09 2006 at 6:18 PM Rating: Good
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I noticed you didn't actually answer the question.

It's pretty simple. I made a statement. Git said I was wrong. I gave *two* different examples of how his statement was incorrect. Either of them is sufficient to disprove his statement. You proceeded to debate the weaker of the two statements I provided, but missed the point. If you can't show that *both* are incorrect, you aren't actually doing anything but pointlessly arguing for the sake of arguing.

The quote of Ambrya was my main counter to Git's statement. The "I also recall" bit was just added "fluff" to the main argument (and for Nobby's sake I didn't elaborate because it is a more involved "proof" and wasn't needed). That you choose to debate the fluff and not the quoted statement is typical.
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King Nobby wrote:
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#101 Oct 09 2006 at 6:27 PM Rating: Excellent
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I chose not to answer it because I was too busy laughing at you.

I didn't argue about Git or Ambrya or anything else. I pointed out a statement you had made and noted that it was inaccurate. That you chose to start going on about the "direct quotes" and "forest for the trees" and whatnot instead of saying "Yeah, I was wrong on that point" is typical. Smiley: laughSmiley: laughSmiley: laugh
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Belkira wrote:
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