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Where's Smasharoo? The Dow closed at a record high todayFollow

#1 Oct 03 2006 at 3:49 PM Rating: Good
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Mark it down! After trumpeting the economic prowess of the Presidents Clintons and comparing it to the supposedly lackluster financial abilities of GWB, ol' Dubya surpassed the master(s) and now holds the record.* Time to eat some crow, Poker-boy.

Totem






*I said back then and I still say now that the economy is largely out of the hands of American presidents. The reality is these men do nothing one way or another to influence our country's financial picture outside of small incremental nudges brought on by taxes or psychological boosts in the form of "ecomonic packages."
#2 Oct 03 2006 at 4:15 PM Rating: Decent
Let me be the first to predict a portion of Smash's response (if he makes one) and say that the performance of the Dow indicates more that businesses are doing well than the workers are - and that maybe the businesses are doing well because the workers aren't...

Not saying that's what I actually believe (well, the first half I do, because the performance of the Dow is basically "here's how businesses are doing" - it's things like the CPI that are more useful for "here's how people are doing"), just that it might be what comes up.
#3 Oct 03 2006 at 6:42 PM Rating: Good
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Let me be the first to predict a portion of Smash's response


I knew Smash, Posted with Smash, even kicked Smash's *** on occasion.

You Sir, are no Smasharoo.
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#4 Oct 03 2006 at 6:52 PM Rating: Decent
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Ratedown for speaking anything positive during a GOP presidency Smiley: disappointed
#5 Oct 03 2006 at 6:55 PM Rating: Decent
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MDenham the Shady wrote:
Let me be the first to predict a portion of Smash's response (if he makes one) and say that the performance of the Dow indicates more that businesses are doing well than the workers are - and that maybe the businesses are doing well because the workers aren't...


Lol. If we lived in the 15th century the concept that if the rich do well, the poor aren't would make sense. In a modern industrial nation, it's a pretty good bet that the workers do better on average if the businesses are doing better...

Just saying.

Quote:
Not saying that's what I actually believe (well, the first half I do, because the performance of the Dow is basically "here's how businesses are doing" - it's things like the CPI that are more useful for "here's how people are doing"), just that it might be what comes up.


Then I suppose the fact that the average CPI change over Bush's term so far is lower then during Clinton's should answer your question. Clinton's average CPI index change over his 8 years was 2.612%. Bush's average CPI change over his 5 years so far has been 2.560%.

So yeah. Things are going well, both for workers and business owners.

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#6 Oct 03 2006 at 7:17 PM Rating: Good
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With all that massive decifit spending you bob well would hope that the economy would be doing ok. Now if he was managing the record growth without spending enough money to make a democrat cry that might be something to brag about.

Just sayin' sissy's.

Edited, Oct 3rd 2006 at 8:22pm PDT by bodhisattva
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#7 Oct 04 2006 at 3:35 AM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
If we lived in the 15th century the concept that if the rich do well, the poor aren't would make sense. In a modern industrial nation, it's a pretty good bet that the workers do better on average if the businesses are doing better...


It's not. The two of them are not necessarily related. Real wages have actually gone down since 2001 in most "modern industrial nations". The ones doing better are the very rich and the very poor. The middle class is not, and they are the onse being squeezed.

Most menail jobs can't be taken abroad. You can't take a toilet's cleaner's job to India. Ot the guy flipping burgers at MacDo.

However, most jobs above the menial category can be taken abroad, and a lot of them are.

I do agree this has very litle to do with the President, though.
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#8 Oct 04 2006 at 3:40 AM Rating: Good
All this means is that in 2-3 months we will have another crash like in 2000.
#9 Oct 04 2006 at 9:16 AM Rating: Decent
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RedPhoenixxxxxx wrote:
It's not. The two of them are not necessarily related. Real wages have actually gone down since 2001 in most "modern industrial nations". The ones doing better are the very rich and the very poor. The middle class is not, and they are the onse being squeezed.


Ok. But is that due to outsourcing? Or some other factor? When you say "most modern industrial nations", which ones specifically are you talking about? Have real wages gone down for the middle class in the US? France? The UK? Spain? Because there are other factors at work then just outsourcing. I'd typically argue that it's not just that a nation is "modern" and "industrial", but that it also allows capitalism to function correctly in order for that relationship to work. But then I'd have to repeat one of my long diatribes about how high government taxes ultimately hurt the middle class instead of the wealthy that they are ostensibly aimed at.

Quote:
Most menail jobs can't be taken abroad. You can't take a toilet's cleaner's job to India. Ot the guy flipping burgers at MacDo.

However, most jobs above the menial category can be taken abroad, and a lot of them are.


Again. While there's a whole lot of talk about outsourcing, there's very little data to support that supposition that it has the kind of impact on jobs that you are implying. At least here in the US, it's more or less a wash. We outsource some jobs. We "insource" some jobs (how many people in the US work for Sony, or Toyota for example...?). The overall impact is pretty minimal and some argue that outsourcing in principle isn't a problem, it's a matter of how attractive your employment laws are to businesses that matters.

Quote:
I do agree this has very litle to do with the President, though.



Sure. But if the economy was in the toilet, you can bet people would blame Bush (heck, there's another thread right now where some are trying to do that by creating a measurement to show the economy's doing poorly!). While I agree that presidents typically have only a small overall impact on the economy as a whole, they do tend to get blamed or praised based on the performance of the economy during their terms. How many times have we heard people talk about how "Clinton ran a surplus", but somehow it's never "the Republican controlled congress that took power in 1995 created a surplus". Even though the latter arguably had more influence on the generation of that surplus, everyone still gives it to Clinton...

I'm not saying this to make a Republican v Democrat statement. By the same token, Carter got bashed to death back in the 70s for the recession that occured during his presidency. Reagan got bashed for the unemployment rates caused by his "Reaganomics" plan in the 82/83 time period (then praised in the late 80s for the economic growth, then bashed in the early 90s because of the S&L crashes). Economic outcomes are maybe 1/3rd congress, 1/3rd executive (mostly decisions made by the Fed), and about 1/3rd random factors that pretty much no one can predict or take credit for.
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#10 Oct 04 2006 at 9:26 AM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
(heck, there's another thread right now where some are trying to do that by creating a measurement to show the economy's doing poorly!)
You're an idiot.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#11 Oct 04 2006 at 9:43 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
(heck, there's another thread right now where some are trying to do that by creating a measurement to show the economy's doing poorly!)
You're an idiot.
Smiley: lol Goddamnit, you're incisive!
#12 Oct 04 2006 at 11:04 AM Rating: Decent
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Atomicflea wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
(heck, there's another thread right now where some are trying to do that by creating a measurement to show the economy's doing poorly!)
You're an idiot.
Goddamnit, you're incisive!


He's got sharp teeth? huh...
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King Nobby wrote:
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#13 Oct 04 2006 at 11:08 AM Rating: Excellent
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Answers.com wrote:
SYNONYMS incisive, trenchant, biting, cutting, crisp.
Indeed.

"Trenchant" is a word I don't use enough
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#14 Oct 04 2006 at 11:33 AM Rating: Default
Soracloud the Charming wrote:
All this means is that in 2-3 months we will have another crash like in 2000.


I'm just waiting for all the housing forclosures so I can buy me one cheap from the bank. :D
#15 Oct 04 2006 at 2:27 PM Rating: Good
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xtremereign wrote:
Soracloud the Charming wrote:
All this means is that in 2-3 months we will have another crash like in 2000.


I'm just waiting for all the housing forclosures so I can buy me one cheap from the bank. :D

My sister has been waiting for the same thing.....for several years.
#16 Oct 04 2006 at 6:27 PM Rating: Decent
gbaji wrote:
Quote:
Not saying that's what I actually believe (well, the first half I do, because the performance of the Dow is basically "here's how businesses are doing" - it's things like the CPI that are more useful for "here's how people are doing"), just that it might be what comes up.


Then I suppose the fact that the average CPI change over Bush's term so far is lower then during Clinton's should answer your question. Clinton's average CPI index change over his 8 years was 2.612%. Bush's average CPI change over his 5 years so far has been 2.560%.

So yeah. Things are going well, both for workers and business owners.



gbaji, I didn't say that I necessarily believed what I mentioned there - I'd stated it as an example of what I think Smash would say about this (though probably in longwinded fashion, as is his [and your] wont). I'm not complaining about how things are going under Bush, just like I didn't complain about them under Clinton - though you have to admit that the difference at a press conference is pretty striking.

I think I'm voting for Martin Sheen and Geena Davis in '08, just on general principle - it doesn't seem like the Democraps or the Repugnicans are going to field a halfway decent candidate (by my standards) for the next election, so I'm intending to throw my vote off at random. (If McCain runs for prez, though, in the general election, I plan on voting for him.)
#17 Oct 05 2006 at 2:41 AM Rating: Decent
Jophiel wrote:

"Trenchant" is a word I don't use enough


You should. Cheese-eating-surrender-monkey words ftmfw.
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