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Fossil Fuel dependencyFollow

#27 Sep 25 2006 at 2:23 PM Rating: Decent
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Jawbox wrote:
fenderputy wrote:
Jawbox wrote:
Kakar wrote:
gbaji wrote:
You're on the right track, but it really has nothing to do with how much of a stink people make. It's a purely market issue.


You don't think people raising a stink about how much fuel costs has any thing to do with the market for it?

Not really. It's not about what people say but what they buy (or don't buy). People ***** and moan about today's gas prices but keep on fillin' up.


You post this as if I have a choice.

Wow. You live in the boondocks? No public bus system? No taxis? No bicycles? Not even a car pool?

What if gas was $3,000/gallon? Would you, like, die of starvation because the oil companies are forcing you to pay that much? Smiley: dubious


Worse ... I live in Southern California. If you want to talk about a place with infrastructure set up for CARS only, then you'll want to talk about the greater Los Angeles area. If prices of gas flow up to be 3000 Dollars a gallon, most of California wouldn’t be getting’ anywhere. Our bus/train systems suck royally. Not to mention that if prices went up that high, prices for the bus and train would also skyrocket. Plus … who the hell picks their date up in their nifty low-rider beach cruiser.

Can't imagine a Pubie be willing to pay for the taxes to afford such an infrastructure either.

Edited, Sep 25th 2006 at 6:28pm EDT by fenderputy
#28 Sep 25 2006 at 2:24 PM Rating: Good
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Is anyone here claiming that fossil fuel reserves are infinite?
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#29 Sep 25 2006 at 2:26 PM Rating: Good
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King Nobby wrote:
Is anyone here claiming that fossil fuel reserves are infinite?


I am!

I AM!
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#30 Sep 25 2006 at 2:26 PM Rating: Excellent
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I am!

We just need to, like, kill more stuff and make more fossils. Duh.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#31 Sep 25 2006 at 2:28 PM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
Is anyone here claiming that fossil fuel reserves are infinite?

Infinite? No, but we won't run out in any meaningful sense.
#32 Sep 25 2006 at 2:29 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
I am!

We just need to, like, kill more stuff and make more fossils. Duh.


Can we please start with Nekio?
#33 Sep 25 2006 at 2:31 PM Rating: Decent
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I'm sorry, I thought this is where we went for intelligent discussion.
#34 Sep 25 2006 at 2:34 PM Rating: Good
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nekio wrote:
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The hell?

1. If you can't find a resource, you've run out of it. Regardless if it's in some super secret dimension that you can't get to it, there's still no more available. If you can't get any more essentially, you've run out.

2. It doesn't matter if an alternative is created. Just because you've found an alternative doesn't mean that what you used to use isn't still gone.


1. The people touting the "gone in 40-50 years" figures are basing their calculations off of current known reserves. The reason the predictions are such a load is because we always find more reserves. This again goes back to economics: if a resource becomes scarce, the value of the resource goes up. This results in increased effort to find more of said resource. The result? We end up excavating brand new reserves and the predicitons go to hell.

2. As was said before, you will NEVER run out of a resource, simply because the value of a resource increases as supply decreases. Who the hell is going to use gasoline to run their car when it costs $1000 a gallon?



1. So by that theory, we apparently have a limitless supply of fossil fuels, we just have to find them? I can understand the second part of your arguement, but I don't buy that we'll always be able to find new reserves just because we haven't looked hard enough yet.

2. BullShit. OK, maybe they'll be a few thousand gallons of oil left somewhere because we've gotten to that magic point where it's become too expensive to use/retrieve it and we've already gone to another source of energy. But this planet is limited in everything. Granted, it's a big planet and it sometimes seems like there is an endless supply of air/water/whatever but regardless of how much you argue it resources on this planet, or even in this solar system (assuming you can find gasoline on Mars) is still not infinite.

Nobby wrote:
Is anyone here claiming that fossil fuel reserves are infinite?


Apparently Nekio is.
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#35 Sep 25 2006 at 2:34 PM Rating: Good
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nekio wrote:
I'm sorry, I thought this is where we went for intelligent discussion.
Aww how cute.

Did you read the fine-print on your invitation?

Quote:
I agree that no matter how much sense I make, or even if I try to add value to a debate; unless I impress "We", I will be treated like a rape-doll by "we"


Thought not Smiley: oyvey
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#36 Sep 25 2006 at 2:54 PM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
Quote:
I agree that no matter how much sense I make, or even if I try to add value to a debate; unless I impress "We", I will be treated like a rape-doll by "we"


Thought not


***** that. Way too much work for the level of commitment I'm looking for.
#37 Sep 25 2006 at 2:59 PM Rating: Decent
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nekio wrote:
Quote:
Quote:
I agree that no matter how much sense I make, or even if I try to add value to a debate; unless I impress "We", I will be treated like a rape-doll by "we"


Thought not


***** that. Way too much work for the level of commitment I'm looking for.


So you don't mind paying for your own taxi then. Fantastic!
#38 Sep 25 2006 at 3:01 PM Rating: Decent
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Stupid double post.

Edited, Sep 25th 2006 at 7:01pm EDT by fenderputy
#39 Sep 25 2006 at 3:23 PM Rating: Default
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I had a really in-depth, concise and probing analysis of the current world energy situation written out in my head. It would have really enlighted and changed the opinions of many of you, and confirmed the suspicions of the rest, but I got distracted by Nobby's avatar, and it just slipped away.

Bewbies!
#40 Sep 25 2006 at 3:24 PM Rating: Decent
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Quote:
I agree that no matter how much sense I make, or even if I try to add value to a debate; unless I impress "We", I will be treated like a rape-doll by "we"

By the way, I'm taking this as a compliment.
#41 Sep 25 2006 at 4:33 PM Rating: Decent
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Quote:


I'm sorry, I thought this is where we went for intelligent discussion.



Dude, you need to rethink what "intelligent" means.

#42 Sep 25 2006 at 4:48 PM Rating: Good
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God I love this!


fenderputy wrote:
Brazil has become almost totally independent of foreign oil. They've used many techniques including Biodiesel. They started weaning themselves off of foreign oil 10 years ago. I've read many articles about this and nothing has been said about the Brazilian populous ******** about prices.


You're kidding right? Do you know what "techniques" they used to accomplish this? They only slashed and burned a quarter of the worlds largest "irreplacable" rain forest in their quest for fossil fuel independance. Let's see... Digging oil out of the the ground under a freaking desert, or burning down huge chunks of rainforest. Let me think about this...

Am I the only one who thinks it's funny that for decades Brazil was the boogie man of environmentalists worldwide, but suddenly because they aren't dependant on foreign oil, they're a wonder of the world? Sigh...

Also. Let's be real here. For a nation with the economic "size" of Brazil, it's got a remarkably high poverty rate. The percentage of citizens that own vehicles of any kind is low. The rate of electricity consumption is relatively low as well. For a nation like the US to do the same, we'd have to use a much larger percentage of landmass in order to provide the same amount of power. I'm not sure we have enough, and if we did, I'm pretty sure the same environmentalists would never let us clear the volume of forests and parks needed to do it (but I'm willing to let you try to prove me wrong).
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More words please
#43 Sep 25 2006 at 11:53 PM Rating: Decent
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In fact, because we're not destroying our forests in the US (we're doing the opposite, we're planting lots of trees), the US is, perversely, a "carbon sink." We actually absorb more carbon than we pollute. And we pollute a hell of a lot of it. The people who found this out were astonished (dammit, forgot where I read this - needless to say, this inconvenient study saw very, very little media coverage).

#44 Sep 26 2006 at 1:50 AM Rating: Decent
It's just not a problem of prices for consumers, or even "consumer choice".

The Oil industry is huge and extremely profitable, and it is a very powerful lobby. If we let the market do the works on its own, it's going to take a long time before we switch to renewable/alternative energies.

I think it has to be a combination of markets and goverenmnt intervention. Tax breaks on research into alternative soucrse of energies, on usng eco-friednly cars, on finding efficient and cheap alternatives, and even imposing taxes on vehicles that pollute more than others, such as SUV and 4x4.

This isn't just a problem of choice for the sake of it. If we wait until we run outof oil, we're ust making a dangerous problem even more dangerous. The quicker we find reliable, economically viable, and eco-friendly alternatives, the better. We have to give "the market" every possible incentive to move that way as fast as possible. This would not only be great for the environemnt, but also for interntional politics.
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#45 Sep 26 2006 at 5:07 AM Rating: Excellent
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EvilGnomes wrote:
In fact, because we're not destroying our forests in the US (we're doing the opposite, we're planting lots of trees), the US is, perversely, a "carbon sink." We actually absorb more carbon than we pollute. And we pollute a hell of a lot of it. The people who found this out were astonished (dammit, forgot where I read this - needless to say, this inconvenient study saw very, very little media coverage).
We spoke of it here so perhaps that's where you first read about it.

Part of the reason why this study didn't get more play is because (a) the study had some issues as to how it was conducted, (b) by the admission of the scientists who did the first study, the sink is temporary at best and (c) the United States isn't producing a net loss of carbon at all. Per "The Not-So-Big Carbon Sink" (PDF) in Science magazine:
Science wrote:
Less than half of the carbon emitted to the atmosphere through deforestation, fossil fuel combustion, and cement manufacture remains in the atmosphere. The remainder of the carbon emitted through these human activities is stored, at least temporarily, in carbon sinks in the oceans and in terrestrial ecosystems.
[...]
They conclude that during the 1980s, U.S. ecosystems accumulated carbon at a rate of 0.15 to 0.35 Pg/year [petagrams ([10.sup.15] grams) per year], equivalent to about 10 to 30% of U.S. fossil fuel emissions.
The United States absorbing 30% of its own fossil fuel emissions is not the same as the U.S. absorbing 110%+ of its emissions.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#46 Sep 26 2006 at 6:05 AM Rating: Decent
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RedPhoenixxxxxx wrote:
I think it has to be a combination of markets and goverenmnt intervention. Tax breaks on research into alternative soucrse of energies, on usng eco-friednly cars, on finding efficient and cheap alternatives, and even imposing taxes on vehicles that pollute more than others, such as SUV and 4x4.

/shudder

Aside from grants for research and such, we really don't need the gubberment meddling in these affairs. The marketplace is already gearing up for alternative fuel sources, even though it may not be going at the pace you want.

Some of those huge, rich, meanie-head oil companies already invest millions and millions of dollars in alternative energy research. BP, for example, is spending half a billion dollars on a dedicated biosciences energy lab.

Quote:
BP Chief Executive Lord Browne said the institute would focus initially on three key areas of energy bioscience:

  • developing new biofuel components and improving the efficiency and flexibility of those currently blended with transport fuels


  • devising new technologies to enhance and accelerate the conversion of organic matter to biofuel molecules, with the aim of increasing the proportion of a crop which can be used to produce feedstock


  • using modern plant science to develop species that produce a higher yield of energy molecules and can be grown on land not suitable for food production.

    Browne said the EBI would be staffed by scientists drawn both from the host university and other academic institutions, along with a small number of specialists from BP.



  • The big, successful oil companies are big and successful not just because they're greedy oil-scarfing sons-o-******** but because they're very well run companies. Most understand that oil ain't gonna last forever, and they understand the volitility inherent in some of the oil-rich nations of the world. It's in their best interests as companies to develop and ultimately market new sources of energy manufactured in-house.

    Edited, Sep 26th 2006 at 10:14am EDT by Jawbox
    #47 Sep 26 2006 at 6:33 AM Rating: Good
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    I think most people do not truely understand what oil is to the modern civilization. They think all oil is used for is gas for peoples cars. Oil supplies the overwhelming majority of the fuel for electricity, the fertilizer for the crops we grow, the fuel for the equipment that creates the crops, fel to deliver the food to the markets, etc. The electricity from oil pumps the drinking water we drink, runs the water pullution control plants that enable us to keep water drinkable, powers everything we need to exist today.

    People may think that you can survive without it if needed. Which may be true for one individual or family going off to live it the simple way in the mountains, but that is only possible because everyone else is living in the civilized world. If everyone had to live like that, there would not be enough mountains to go around, and people would starve and die of thirst wihtout the energy driven infrastructure we have today. This infrastructure is a huge expensive one built up over many decades and changing it will be slow and costly. Yes we should find alternatives where available, but in the meantime oil is life for us. The civiliaztion we live in is built on an energy demand that can only be satified by oil at this time.

    This of course only backs up the need for alternative fuel sources, but these are not cheap undertakings and more technology is needed to make them more viable. We should invest more in these technologies, but for now Oil is the most important resource for our civilizaton, it is worth fighting for.
    #48 Sep 26 2006 at 6:40 AM Rating: Good
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    Not up to date with the global oil market or anything, but as Jane Consumer, I can tell you I'm not using ethanol until it's more widely available, and in something other than a GM truck. I looked at a hybrid, but they're damn expensive and the long-term maintenance is a giant question mark. Convenience and price seem to be what keep me buying fossil fuels, and I imagine it's the same for a lot of folks. Vicious circle? Maybe, but I have a hell of a commute, and I can't afford to run out of ethanol someplace it doesn't exist.
    #49 Sep 26 2006 at 8:14 AM Rating: Excellent
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    Flex-Fuel vehicles are designed to run on E85 ethanol blend or regular dead dinosaur gas. Of course, the only companies making them right now are GM & Ford so if someone has an aversion to buying American cars, the point is moot.
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    Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
    #50 Sep 26 2006 at 10:45 AM Rating: Decent
    King Nobby wrote:
    So are we (as the libbys would claim) at the mercy of the oil and automotive industries for purely commercial motives?

    Is enough genuine effort put into sustainable energy (wind, wave, botanical fuels, Nucular etc)?

    That arch-dolt & fashion icon Al Gore was interviewed on UK radio and struck a chord with me:

    Al Gore wrote:
    We didn't leave the Stone Age because we ran out of stone!


    Do we keep maintaining our dependency on a handful of texas rednecks and Middle-eastern Despots because we need to, or because it suits a handful of people pulling the strings at the Whitehouse and No 10?

    Why have we not broken the shackles of Jed Clampett's Black gold (Texas tea)?


    well it is not just the "texas tea" as more then 50% of the power in the US comes from coal. that is a fossil fuel, but is not OIL and comes from within the US and not from Opec and their illegal cartel, but that is an other thread.

    as for it being 100% corp. keeping us from moving away from fossile fuels, i am sure there is something to that. its no differnt then a lot of things. One thing that has been proven to help would be to follow Brazil in its fuel legislation.

    in brazil ALL stations that cary any kind of fuel MUST carry ALL types of fuel options. this includes the "flex fuels" like bio fuels, hydrogen, etc... If it was as easy to get flex fuels as it is to get oil based fuels in the US then the oil companies would lose their grip on the car makers. GM already has the largest line of flex fuel vehicals as they contracted with Brazil to make flex fuel cars, trucks, vans, etc... and they sell better then pure gas/petrol fuel vehicals in Brazil. why? simple by LAW every gas station has to carry all of the differnt types of fuels so the CONSUMER gets to choise what is best for them, not the corps and big oil.

    are we using enough Natural power (wind, sun, hydro) that is again debatable. Wind has proven to be very UNRELIABLE and often times will spend more money keeping the turbines spining, once they stop, then the turbines produce. sun is just very expensive and can take between 10 - 15 years to recoup the cost of going 100% solar, but that can be offset if you use combinations, and that is were MOST natural power fails. they do not combine things. they are so set that ONLY the sun, or ONLY the wind, etc... can do these things. well they can not. it takes combinations.

    IMHO if we spent as much money on developing better ways of harnasin all of the differnt powers available to us that are FREE as in free beer, then we could drastically cut our dependancy on fossil fules, but the biggy is going to have to come in the means of transporation flex fuels.

    that is were the average consumer sees the hit the hardest. that is why GAS prices are so important to the US consumer. it is a cost we deal with every week in our face and it affects our spending habbits. change it so all gas stations cary flex fules and watch things change drasicaly.
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