paulsol wrote:
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But that assumes our "goal" is to withdraw...
And herein lies the problem....
Withdrawal has never been part of the plan has it?? Despite the rhetoric from the US Gov. withdrawal is not, and has not
ever been part of the plan.
You're playing a semantic bait and switch though. I said our "goal" is not to withdraw (ie: we didn't send troops into Iraq purely so we could remove them as quickly as possible). You respond that withdrawal was never "part of the plan". Those are two radically different concepts.
You're also playing fast and free with what exactly is meant by "withdrawal". I'm interpreting withdrawal to mean the removal of the bulk of our military forces from the country, and a removal of their use as a primary security force in that country. I'm assuming that's what Joph meant when he talked about withdrawal, and I assume that's also what you were talking about. I also assume that's what someone like Murtha was talking about when he used the term.
You're now trying to use it in a different context. You're introducing the idea that "withdrawal" means removing all presense in the country entirely. No embassy. No bases. Nothing. That's totally different. Clearly, we "withdrew" the bulk of our forces out of Germany and Japan after WW2. Clearly also, we maintained bases and embasies and a military "presense" in both of those countries for quite some time.
The "plan" for Iraq may very well involve maintaining a degree of force in the country, both in terms of embassies and bases. But that's not what anyone is talking about when they talk about withdrawing troops from Iraq. At least not anyone who's also concerned about what happens in Iraq after that event.
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If every Iraqi got together tommorrow and shook hands and went down the pub for beer and pies, the US would be still there in their Giant embassy.
Sure. Just like we were still in Germany, and Japan, and Korea, and the Phillipines.
The only way that's not going to happen is if we "withdraw" in the same manner we did in Viet Nam. Which seems to be what Liberals *want* to have happen. The sorriest part is that they seem to want that to happen, not because it would be better for Iraq, nor because it would be better for the US, but purely because it would be better for *them* politically because they'd be able to blame Bush for the failure.
Bush is following a model that has worked repeatedly when it's actually followed with a commitment to see it through. Those opposed to Bush are insisting we follow the failed model of Viet Nam. Hmmm... Which is "better"?
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After all the money and lives spent in the last few years, declaring 'job done, lets go home', is just not gonna happen.
Of course not. But again. Who's insisting that we should do that? And who's insiting that we shouldn't? If you think that's "wrong", then you need to stop and think *really* carefully about which position you support. The Dems want us to say "job done (or job can't be done), let's go home". If you honestly think that's the better long term solution, then by all means bash Bush for not following that course of action.
Personally, I think it would be a disaster if we did that. Thus, it's ridiculous to criticize Bush for the "plan" in Iraq. Point at specific problems if you must (and there certainly are a number), but to blanketly declare the whole venture a failure because we haven't withdrawn our troops quickly enough? That's just silly...
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Thats why the goalposts keep getting moved. From WMD to humanitarian effort thru regime change and all the other reasons for staying "that little bit longer" till the 'mission is complete', leaving iraq to look after itself, was never part of the plan.
It's not that the goalposts are being moved, but that as we complete each phase of the "plan", we set new goals for the next step. They're called mileposts in buisness. Same deal. You don't just achieve the first part and then call it a day and go home. Removing the threat of WMD from Saddam's regime was the *first* step. And we accomplished that. But that now requires that we help rebuild the nation we attacked. That's the next step. And we've made incredible progress there. Iraq's infrastructure has been above pre-war levels for almost 2 years now. At the same time, we've been working with the Iraqi's on creating a new government. That's been quite sucessful as well, with several elections held, and several stages of development completed to the point where they now have a working Constitution, a working parliment, and a working electorial system.
In fact, the recent violence is an indicator that this *is* working. If we'd just replaced Saddam with another dictator, there wouldn't be any fighting. But that would not be success by any measure (or at least not any sane measure). The fact is that for the first time, we're seeing different groups of people (factions if you will) in Iraq have the freedom to express themselves and have a say in the running of their government. The faction fighting is unfortunately a part of that process since some factions will see violence as a means to exert their own views on the system.
Representative Democracy is at its most simple a process where you replace soldiers with votes. Instead of each faction having X number of people behind them and duking it out for control, you vote. However, when a democracy is young, you'll tend to have lots of people try to control the system by building their own faction "armies". It happened here in the US when we first started. It happened in France. It's happened (violently) in most of the old European colonies once given independance. What's happened in the ME is that the European powers didn't *want* this process to happen there, since it would disrupt oil in the short term. So they put dictators in power and have (via oil profits) kept them in power. Thus, "the people" have never had a voice, have been increasingly oppressed, and terrorism is just one symptom of that.
The degree of violence is kinda in proportion to how long the pressure cooker has been running. And in the case of the ME, we're talking about 50+ years. That's a lot of pressure. Of course you're going to have violence. Interestingly enough though, the switch from attacking US soldiers to attacking eachother is a strong indicator of progress. And I don't mean that from a "better them then us" standpoint. I mean that it signals a shift of perception that the US is imposing some kind of rule on them so they fight against us, to a perception that the democratization process is going to work, so now the "enemy" is other Iraqi factions.
That may not seem like progress if you measure things in body count. But when you measure in terms of real historical process, it's a *huge* step forwards. Those folks forming factions and arming their own militias have accepted at least that Iraqi's are in control of their own destiny and not controlled by the US or some emplaced dictator. And that's "progress"...
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*cough* I thought our "goal" was to rebuild Iraq? Isn't measuring how many schools and powerplants are built the correct way to measure that
?
I thought the goal was to neutralize the 'grave and gathering threat' of WMD's. But i prolly read that in a liberal newspaper....
Again. That's goal number one. What part of "multi-step process" do you not get?
You're trying to simplify a process that involves multiple phases, each with their own criteria and difficulties down to a simple "but we went there for WMDs!!!". I'll point out again that the only people saying we'd be in and out of Iraq quickly were the vocal opponents to the war on the left (or more correctly, they argued that we *should* but that since we couldn't, we shouldn't get involved in the first place). Bush stated from day one that this would be a long and difficult process. And he certainly told the truth that day...