Thumbelyna the Hand wrote:
I really think Joaquin Phoenix and Reese Witherspoon should pick up Oscars for Walk the Line. They were awesome.
I really liked Memoirs of a Geisha (I probably would have thought the movie was better if I didn't read the book). But I thought that the scenes were shot beautifully. So I think Memoirs should win for the arty Oscars like Art Direction, Cinematography (but that's a toss up with Brokeback) and Costume Design.
Brokeback I think will probably get original score, adapted screenplay, best director and possibly best picture. But I really think Crash was so well done that it's going to give Brokeback a run for its money. Crash should definitely get original screenplay and best editing though, just because it tied up so many different plots into one good story.
Tom Cruise is probably going to be jumping on couches to get some Oscars so that film will probably get something like Sound Editing or Sound Mixing.
And Makeup should go to Sith, just because of how smooth Anakin was turned to the Dark Force.
But the Oscars can be such a crapshoot. I've never guessed right.
I just came back to see how my predictions went and wow, my predictions were mostly right!
I just thought that Memoirs of Geisha was just beautifully done and it was more artistic than cinematic (how snooty does that sound?). Too bad that the acting and the storyline was a tad skewed.
And I was right about Brokeback getting original score, screenplay, and best director! I was right about Crash for original screenplay and editing!
But I was wrong about the sound and makeup Oscars. Oh well.
But I'm not really surprised that Crash got Best Picture over Brokeback Mountain. I remember when Traffic was nominated and so many people thought that was total crap it didn't win Best Picture, so Crash got it because Traffic didn't.
So the one time that I guessed mostly right for the Oscars is the one time I decide not to enter the office pool.
Edit: added in "it didn't win Best Picture" for Traffic. It wasn't just total crap.
Edited, Mon Mar 6 12:53:14 2006 by Thumbelyna