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Superflu Vaccine!Follow

#1 Nov 01 2005 at 6:29 AM Rating: Good
Bush to unveil Superflu vaccine

This one is gonna be good. I figure for a very good episode of The Daily Show this evening.
#2 Nov 01 2005 at 6:44 AM Rating: Excellent
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Oh noes! Captain Tripps!!!?1111!!!
#3 Nov 01 2005 at 8:33 AM Rating: Good
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But the administration plan, to be released in more detail on Wednesday, calls for more than stockpiling shots. It will stress a new method of manufacturing flu vaccines — growing the virus to make them in easy-to-handle cell cultures instead of today's cumbersome process that uses millions of chicken eggs — as well as incentives for new U.S.-based vaccine factories to open.

Doesn't anyone care about the millions of unborn chickens? Smiley: cry
#4 Nov 01 2005 at 9:45 AM Rating: Excellent
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Mistress Nadenu wrote:
Oh noes! Captain Tripps!!!?1111!!!


Nice. Smiley: laugh
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#5 Nov 01 2005 at 11:05 AM Rating: Good
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said Tuesday he is asking Congress for $1.2 billion for enough vaccine to protect 20 million Americans


And who chooses who gets the vaccine? Do we pass it out to nursing homes to extend lifespans another 2 years? Do we give it to the rich who can afford to pay for it? Only for medicare recipients? If you can only make enough vaccine for 10% of the population then don't spend everyone's tax dollars on it.
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#6 Nov 01 2005 at 11:26 AM Rating: Good
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If you can only make enough vaccine for 10% of the population then don't spend everyone's tax dollars on it.



That's a silly approach to inadequacy. By that logic we shouldn't do heart transplants, deliver aid after a disaster or save a single person from a sinking ship if we can't manage to get them all.

Methinks somebody resents that he isn't on any of those lists. Yeah, it sucks being just an ordinary snowflake, doesn't it?
#7 Nov 01 2005 at 11:37 AM Rating: Decent
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I think offering vaccines and offering token gestures to make the masses feel better makes for a good sound byte (unless its Shrub doing the speaking /blech).

Of course we heard it in Canada but when the Bird Flu hit the British Columbian poultry industry back a couple years ago it became clear that there were no precautions in the industry to protect against outbreaks in the farms where huge populations of chicks and workers interact on a daily basis where the chances for the flu to make the jump from birds to man is main.

Since it happened the industry took a number of self imposed regulations and safety precautions mainly to save the industry from the a scandal like Mad Cow in the Beef industry.

Especially with the H5N1 variant of it popping up in Quebec and Manitoba within the last couple days, its in North America and should be treated seriously, I don't think Bush is the man to tackle such a complex issue in an effective manner seeing as how he seems to be the type that lets something happen and then only shines (and a dull shine that is) when picking up the pieces.
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#8 Nov 01 2005 at 1:10 PM Rating: Good
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I guess I'm just looking at it from a mass panic point of view. Lets say we do make the 20 million vaccines. Lets say it does make the jump to humans and it kills just 15% of the people it infects and infects 1/3 of the population. So now you have 1 of every 20 people dropping dead.

Now people I know and love are dropping dead, and yet I know there are people with lifespans of less than 2-3 years who are getting the vaccine. There are people that are in positions of power getting vaccinated over children. Not only that but on my tax dollar. People that don't even pay taxes are getting the life saving vaccine that I helped pay for over my family?

There are far too many ethical questions to only attempt to produce that much vaccine. If your not going to make more than 10% then don't make it at all. When people start to panic they will kill whoever and destroy whatever stands between them and that vaccine. If we can only afford to cover 10% of the population then we better spend that money on a cure and not a vaccine

Quote:
Methinks somebody resents that he isn't on any of those lists.


For the record if they used the same priority system they use now for the normal flu vaccine now I would be on the list anyway as a parent of a child under 6 months old.
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#9 Nov 01 2005 at 1:18 PM Rating: Decent
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Sounds like a 7.1 Billion dollar waste of time.


I'm going to be the first to have it now ...
#10 Nov 01 2005 at 3:06 PM Rating: Excellent
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I'm not a microbiologist but my Discover Channel level understanding was that H5N1 would need to mutate to become the sort of person-to-person contagion that Stand quality pandemics are made of. And that, if it did mutate, there's no telling whether or not a vaccine made for H5N1 would work on the new strain -- in fact, chances are it would not. Am I wrong here?

This isn't about Bush, I doubt he sat down with a sheet of notebook paper and a pencil and made this plan up all by himself. I'm just wondering if it's going to be even remotely effective.
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#11 Nov 01 2005 at 3:28 PM Rating: Decent
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Tamiflu was used successfully during the outbreak in South East Asia so its hoped that any further bird to human jumps that it would work.

But its also important to note that a vaccine isnt the complete protection, its important for the poultry industry which has humans in close and constant contact with birds. Situations where the chance for the jump to happen. A number of safety measures have to be implemented. So while having the drug stockpiled even for a small portion of the population to deal with and help contain isolated outbreaks before they grow into pandemics is good and grand, not taking action on the potential sources of the disease.

The actual break down of the 7 billion dollar spending is as follows (stolen from forbes.com)

  • $1.2 billion for the federal government to buy enough doses of the vaccine against the current strain of bird flu to protect 20 million Americans;

  • $1 billion to stockpile more anti-viral drugs that lessen the severity of the flu symptoms;

  • $2.8 billion to speed the development of vaccines as new strains emerge, a process that now takes months;


  • $583 million for states and local governments to prepare emergency plans to respond to an outbreak.


  • Coverage for 20 million americans when worst case scenarios predict tops of 1.9 million dying due to an avian flu, that should be enough to cover at risk people such as health care and first response people and those at potential risk. You cant expect the govt to buy a shot very every single American but neither would expect them to have none.

    But once again the greatest source of danger is the poultry industry. Not only for human safety and risk of jump but also for economics. SE asia has had to slaughter over 100 million birds. Any plan he puts forward that doesnt press for strict regulation in the industry is just a huge opening for disaster. Now Im sure a republican like Gbaji would argue that the industry is perfectly capable of regulating themselves and would do so out of a need to protect their competitiveness in the market however once again it was shown in BC and in other cases that implementations by the businesses on their own failed and led to an avian flu outbreak (luckily not the kind that jumps) and after that it took the Canadian govt working with the industry who had a bloody nose already to get a system in place that is somewhat capable of protecting itself from such an outbreak in the future.

    Edited, Tue Nov 1 15:38:52 2005 by bodhisattva

    Edited, Tue Nov 1 15:39:42 2005 by bodhisattva
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    #12 Nov 01 2005 at 5:27 PM Rating: Excellent
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    bodhisattva Defender of Justice wrote:
    Now Im sure a republican like Gbaji would argue that the industry is perfectly capable of regulating themselves and would do so out of a need to protect their competitiveness in the market however once again it was shown in BC and in other cases that implementations by the businesses on their own failed and led to an avian flu outbreak (luckily not the kind that jumps) and after that it took the Canadian govt working with the industry who had a bloody nose already to get a system in place that is somewhat capable of protecting itself from such an outbreak in the future.


    The phrase for today is "Market Failure". Learn what it means. Learn it's importance with regard to when it's correct for the government to step into something.

    In the case of vaccinations, it is correct for the government to handle things, since there is no profit for private industry to do so, so the market will not cause the desired result.

    The conservative position is not a blanket "Government should never get involved in anything". It's about having a sepecific set of criteria for when that should happen. I'm frankly still amazed at how many people don't get this, and try to equate a position on the government involving itself in the production of Televisions to one on the government involving itself in the production of vaccines. Sigh...
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    #13 Nov 01 2005 at 5:31 PM Rating: Excellent
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    Jophiel wrote:
    I'm not a microbiologist but my Discover Channel level understanding was that H5N1 would need to mutate to become the sort of person-to-person contagion that Stand quality pandemics are made of. And that, if it did mutate, there's no telling whether or not a vaccine made for H5N1 would work on the new strain -- in fact, chances are it would not. Am I wrong here?
    Alas, you're right.

    Until H5N1 mutates we might as well chew M&Ms.

    (Mmmm. M&Ms. Niiice!)

    Any vaccine has to match the revised viral DNA once H5N1 becomes trans-special.


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    #14 Nov 01 2005 at 5:35 PM Rating: Good
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    gbaji wrote:
    In the case of vaccinations, it is correct for the government to handle things, since there is no profit for private industry to do so, so the market will not cause the desired result.
    What a fu[i][/i]ck-wit!

    A Pandemic is likely to shove millions into the coffers of the pharmaceutical giants.

    Silly, Silly gbaji Smiley: oyvey

    Most Governments are prioritising key workers (healthcare, law & order etc.) to have first access to prophylactic or remedial drugs. The Pharma Industry would rather keep the net cast as wide as possible.

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    #15 Nov 01 2005 at 8:09 PM Rating: Good
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    PottyMouth wrote:
    gbaji wrote:
    In the case of vaccinations, it is correct for the government to handle things, since there is no profit for private industry to do so, so the market will not cause the desired result.
    What a fu[i][/i]ck-wit!

    A Pandemic is likely to shove millions into the coffers of the pharmaceutical giants.


    Lol. Exactly my point. Pandemics spread due to lack of vaccination and preparation. That's why it's a market failure if your goal is to prevent the pandemic from occuring. And thus it's completely correct for the government to ensure that vaccinations are generated and distributed to prevent that.

    Didn't I just say that the phrase of the day was "market failure". You didn't look it up, did you!?
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    #16 Nov 01 2005 at 8:20 PM Rating: Excellent
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    Regardless of what you prats are pontificating about, I just wanted to point out that the title of this thread looks like "Superfly Vaccine!"
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    #17 Nov 01 2005 at 9:24 PM Rating: Good
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    Samira wrote:
    Regardless of what you prats are pontificating about, I just wanted to point out that the title of this thread looks like "Superfly Vaccine!"


    We must stamp out Curtis Mayfieldsitis
    #18 Nov 01 2005 at 10:36 PM Rating: Decent
    gbaji wrote:

    Didn't I just say that the phrase of the day was "market failure". You didn't look it up, did you!?


    I did. It's pretty obvious people are just going to disagree on when it occurs, or is occuring. This is what virtually every artile on the topic acknowledges.

    Further, some people simply don't believe that they exist at all:
    wikipedia article "market failure" wrote:
    Many advocates of laissez-faire capitalism, such as libertarians and economists of the Austrian School, often deny the existence of market failures altogethe


    Moe, for example, claims to follow this line of thinking.

    The only thing I'll add to the discussion is that there are diseases, such as HIV/AIDS which, if there was an acutal cure found, it would be a huge hit to the drug industry.
    #19 Nov 01 2005 at 10:43 PM Rating: Decent
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    bodhi wrote:
    worst case scenarios predict tops of 1.9 million dying due to an avian flu


    Ah, man.

    I was just getting my shotgun and "What's your beef?" pin ready.

    Smiley: frown

    Edited, Tue Nov 1 22:52:26 2005 by DodoBird
    #20 Nov 01 2005 at 11:12 PM Rating: Good
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    yossarian wrote:
    Further, some people simply don't believe that they exist at all:
    wikipedia article "market failure" wrote:
    Many advocates of laissez-faire capitalism, such as libertarians and economists of the Austrian School, often deny the existence of market failures altogethe



    Yeah. But that's what distinquishes "conservatives" and "libertarians". A fallacy that I see all the time is the assumption that there's this big political line and everything to the left of center is "liberal", and everything to the right is "conservative". There are many aspects of each, and that's an incredibly simplistic model to use.

    If we're to look purely at the power and scope of government as it relates to domestic living, the "classic liberalist" would say that governments only role is to create an environment for people to live. It's responsible for protecting the nations borders from foreign incursion, and to deal with foreign matters (heads of state, trade, etc), and that's about it (some concessions for road building and such is included in the trade part of it). That's the kind of state people like Locke were talking about when they started the whole liberalist movement.

    When the industrial revolution rolled along, it was realized that due to the change in the type of labor, there could exist an environment where most of the people could not realize opportunity. A farmer could, through his own labor, improve his lands and become wealthy. A wage earner in a factory could not. With a huge shift in labor from one to the other, there was a fear among the liberalist thinkers that this would produce a very class separated society (which was the opposite of what they wanted). A realization that there was a need for "dignity" among the workforce appeared. Afterall, the point of the whole thing was to build a society where everyone could achieve to their full potential without arbitrary restrictions. A school of thought arose that if the economic structure ensured that for many citizens, full potential could not be reached, then this would detract from the society as a whole (and cause lots of problems like riots and revolt). The thought was that one should correct for the imbalance that industrialized society created by shifting "capital" from the haves to the have-nots. Thus, the "social liberalists" were born. Their agenda was to engineer society to counter the imbalances imposed by an industrial workplace to allow for the "pursuit of happiness" for all people regardless of status.

    This caused a problem though, since it was quickly realized that the only way to provide that capital to those who could not obtain it themselves, they had to take it from someone else. This ran directly counter to Locke's (and others) ideas that private property, free from government reposession, was the key to liberty. The "dignity versus liberty" argument arose as a result. This bubbled down into a compromise solution of "moderates" or "conservative liberalists", who believed that there was value to government providing aid to the people domestically, but *only* in cases where the market could be shown to fail. This applies to a broad range of things. But it's a basic recognition that we as a people *can* look at the outcome of market events and decide when the result is negative or positive and regulate the market to prevent "market failure". This is what the conservative position in the US is about.


    Obviously, there's always disagreement over what and when something is a market failure. And you'll get a whole range of folks between those that tend strongly towards the liberal position (anything that can be improved by government intervention or regulation should be) and those that tend strongly towards the libertarian position (nothing should be constrolled by the government). Most are somewhere in the middle between those two extremes. Most conservatives accept that government should tax it's people, and it should use those taxes on domestic programs that can be shown to be "needed". The key difference between conservatives and liberals is that "needed". Conservatives define "need" as something that cannot be provided via the normal market process (can *only* result if government gets involved). Liberals tend to approach the problem by proposing that all things that *can* be controlled/regulated by governemnt should be. Thus, we have liberals espousing things like universal health care, universal education, universal housing, government job placement, government wellfare for those who can't get jobs, etc, while conservatives tend to oppose most of those to some degree.


    Scary thing is that's the short version of this issue. It's actually far more complex then that. I only covered some very basic domestic program issues of the different "sides". My main point is that it's incredibly flawed to just call everyone who's not "Liberal" a conservative. We do tend to do that, but it's incorrect. It's more accurate to place Libertarians at one end of a spectrum, Liberals at the other, and Conservatives in the middle.

    But them I'm undoubtably biased... ;)
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    #21 Nov 01 2005 at 11:25 PM Rating: Excellent
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    Was all that just pent up inside you or something? No one even hinted that they thought everyone who wasn't a liberal was a conservative. Yossarian just quoted something saying there was debate on whether or not market failures existed. Yeesh. Smiley: oyvey

    Anyway, the more typical train is Libertarian-Conservative-"Moderate"-Liberal-Communist or something of the sort. I don't know any professed liberals who want everything possible under the control of the government though you'll undoubtably claim to know thousands upon thousands of them. Pretending liberals are on the extreme fringe is disingenuous.

    Edited, Tue Nov 1 23:45:40 2005 by Jophiel
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    #22 Nov 02 2005 at 4:22 AM Rating: Good
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    Libertarians aren't really at the end of the conservative-liberal spectrum, they're at a different corner of the diamond.

    Reason being that they don't want the government in our personal lives, either.

    #23 Nov 02 2005 at 9:25 AM Rating: Decent
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    gbaji wrote:
    PottyMouth wrote:
    gbaji wrote:
    In the case of vaccinations, it is correct for the government to handle things, since there is no profit for private industry to do so, so the market will not cause the desired result.
    What a fu[i][/i]ck-wit!

    A Pandemic is likely to shove millions into the coffers of the pharmaceutical giants.


    Lol. Exactly my point. Pandemics spread due to lack of vaccination and preparation. That's why it's a market failure if your goal is to prevent the pandemic from occuring. And thus it's completely correct for the government to ensure that vaccinations are generated and distributed to prevent that.

    Didn't I just say that the phrase of the day was "market failure". You didn't look it up, did you!?


    I think you couldnt have more clearly misunderstood what I was talking about. When i referenced you I was not talking about vaccination (the buying, research, distribution) but rather govt getting directly involved with the Poulty industry to ensure that the proper safety precautions were being met in order to minimize the chances of the virus jumping from bird to human.

    As it stands Bush has in no way touched one of the most likely sources of the pandemic making the genetic jump. The giant corporation owned poultry farms that generate 95%+ of the chicken you eat. There have been no standards set up or precautions taken and in the case of the canadian poultry industry even the ones they put in place before the outbreak at govt insistence were found lacking and it was only an outbreak that made the industry pliable to taking the govt advice.

    What you have now is an industry where workers are in daily contact with birds and no safeguards are being taken to protect them or prevent an outbreak in the bird population. No one is addressing the issue and when something does happen you just know you are going to hear something along the lines of:

    "the industry was meeting all preset standards to the fullest it was just not set up to deal with such a situation, the senate working with the industry leaders are now making sweeping changes to protect such a disaster from ever happening again"

    What I am stating is that the fact that this topic as well as a myriad of others have not been address show the current Whitehouse response as one (or more) of the following a)incomplete b)poorly thought out c)a mere gesture at allying public fears d) a whitehouse that is truly ignorant of the problem
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    #24 Nov 02 2005 at 9:26 AM Rating: Good
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    fu[b][/b]cking allakhazams

    Edited, Wed Nov 2 12:21:27 2005 by bodhisattva
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    #25 Nov 02 2005 at 9:28 AM Rating: Good
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    Edited, Wed Nov 2 12:21:54 2005 by bodhisattva
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    #26 Nov 02 2005 at 12:05 PM Rating: Good
    Quote:
    As it stands Bush has in no way touched one of the most likely sources of the pandemic making the genetic jump. The giant corporation owned poultry farms that generate 95%+ of the chicken you eat. There have been no standards set up or precautions taken and in the case of the canadian poultry industry even the ones they put in place before the outbreak at govt insistence were found lacking and it was only an outbreak that made the industry pliable to taking the govt advice.


    In all fairness, the people thinking up these plans of action have little connection to the real world. You don't really expect them to come up with a way to defeat this, do you?

    I don't expect anyone to until a few million people have died through trial and error. (Or at least that's what I hope. I have a list of first picks, too. I'm keeping my fingers crossed.)
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