Palpitus wrote:
So, a more moderated, intelligent, and far-sighted foreign policy is the primary prophylaxis to terrorism. No way we can get everyone to love America--it shouldn't even be a goal. Neutrality should be a goal. Nearly 200 countries manage to coexist with Middle East and oil needs without interferring with its countries. We ought to think about starting to do that. We don't need to be the oil protecter of the rest of the world and suffer all the negative consequences of it. Not isolationism, but non-interventionism.
Sounds like you are arguing the merits of Real Politic versus Globalism. Understandable argument. I happen to disagree though. Lots of people seem to idolize Real Politic, especially those in Humanities programs at Universities. It's a straightforward idea that seems to be really popular with that particular crowd.
It's seems quite logical to work that way. Worry about your own concerns. Don't interfere with others unless you've got a direct interest in them. It's commonly bandied about in Europe as the "civlized" way to conduct politics. Unfortunately, just as socialism seems intellectually to be a wonderful solution to man's problems, Real Politic also has a hidden dark side that is rarely seen or explored in theory, but seems to bite us in practice virtually every time.
Real Politic tends to manifest as "Regionalism". A nation worrying specifically about it's own populace first and seeking not to "rock the boat" outside that group, will tend naturally to divide the world into regions. Areas where they have interests needed to satisfy their own population's needs, regions that may involve competitors, allies, and trade partners, and regions that "don't matter". This tends to result in some very "interesting" agreements and treaties between nation states that think this way.
This process and thought led us directly to WW1. It led us right on to WW2. It led us recently to the oil for food scam. The inherent problem with that approach to politics is that there is a great incentive to do things that aren't for the good of all, but rather for the good purely of your own country. Couple that with governments that are heavily invested in industry (as most EU governments are), and suddenly there's no reason to pay more for oil if you don't have to. And if a country that you "don't want to meddle with" gets to get away with breaking some rules as a result, that's not a problem (cause we shouldn't be messing with them in the first place, right?).
It doesn't take "evil" for that to happen. It just gradually moves in that direction. WW1 happened because each nation had its own interests. Instead of looking at the big picture (that Europe was a powderkeg) and trying to figure out how to fix things, they each kept hoping that they'd come out ahead from whatever happened. The wheeling and dealing kept going right up until the music stopped and the fighting began. Same exact thing in WW2. European nations refusing to enforce their own rules and allowing Germany and Italy to get away with whatever they wanted. After all, if you're France and you don't care about Austria, you don't care if it gets annexed. You don't care that much if Czechoslovakia does as well. And Poland? Not a chance. After all, taking action would be "meddling", right?
While there is some value in not being too much of a busybody, history has shown us convincingly that in an industrial world, nations focusing on their own issues and ignoring any sort of global outlook will result in increased conflict. The "goal" of Real Politic is to avoid confrontations, but that ultimately only ends up meaning that the ones that inevitably result are much larger then they could have been.
Globalism is the idea of taking actions with a more global view. While it certainly can be abused as well (and the US can be pointed at in that respect), there is at least the consolation that conflicts will tend not to become huge. It's the idea of taking a lot of smaller actions in order to avoid letting something become a problem that will be "big".
What's funny is that it's not as though the US has become any more agressive in its global stance in the last couple decades then it was before. What's actually happening is that Europe is receeding back into Regionalism and Real Politic. With the threat of the USSR receeding, they don't feel the urgent need to take action around the world, or work for a "common" good, or do anything that's outside their own backyard and their own interests. That's what we're really seeing here.
Their approach to terrorism (just to bring this back on topic) seems very practical. Don't mess with them, and they wont mess with us. But it's unrealistic. Well, it's realistic as long as there is someone else more "involved" then they are. That's where we come in. Europe is more then happy to allow us to be the bad guy and enforce the rules, and if it keeps the target off them, but keeps trade flowing as well, they make out great. Real Politic at its finest. The problem is that if everyone does that, the whole system collapses. Someone has to make the trade deals. Someone has to make sure there's some sort of order around the globe to prevent things from devolving into massive regional conflicts. Only Globalistic approaches address that.
So the really nice sounding method of dealing with Terrorism, while nice sounding, ultimately does not work when applied uniformally. It would be really nice to "get out of the middle east", but if everyone does that, where does the oil come from? Who do we buy it from? What nation? What tribe? And do we just sit back while that region slips into tribal fighting again? How many millions will die if we don't "meddle" in the middle east?
To address another aspect of this. Someone mentioned that the goal of terrorism is to change what somene else does. That's not totally correct. The goal of terrorism is to force a government to change its actions by making the population of that government force that change in order to stop the terrorism. Just change alone isn't that goal. I can guarantee you that there is not a single terrorist organization in the world that thinks that the passing of the patriot act furthers their cause, or sees it as a victory in *any* way. They don't see it that way. Why would they? It's a really odd sort of reverse thinking that comes up with the "By changing our way of life, the terrorists have won!" idea. It's just not true. It may indeed represent a "loss" to us, but it's not a "win" to them at all.
Also, you have to realize that there's a distinction between what the goal of terrorism is, and what motivates someone to become a terrorist. Most terrorists aren't thinking of forcing some kind of political change. They are people who, for one reason or another, hate another group enough to kill them indiscriminately. It's critically important to realize that distinction. You can stop a terrorist organization. Those are the groups that take people with that level of hate and use them for their political change agenda. You can attempt to stop those that hate, but that's pretty much impossible. In all history, there have always been groups that hate others for no reason that can be prevented. As long as different people have *any* interaction with eachother anywhere in the world, there will be people who will develop that level of hate.
Thus, the goal in a war against terrorism isn't to fight and kill those people. That's pretty ineffective. The goal is to destroy the groups and structures that take those people and point them at specific targets. Take away the money, and the training, and the leadership, and you're left with a bunch of people sitting around complaining about something. That's how you fight terrorism. In that respect Bush has been right on with how he's managed it. Instead of focusing on Bin Laden, or Al-queda, or any one specific group of terrorists, he's pushed for actions aimed at preventing those groups from being able to do anything effectively. That way you don't just squish the group in front of you, but you make it harder for the next group as well.
There is certainly some merit in trying to fix the actual problems that cause those groups to form in the first place, but it has to be addressed on a case by case basis and not as a blanket policy. You have to always realize that there will always be people who hate. You have to always realize that there will always be people who'll have the means and desire to take those people who hate, and turn them into a political weapon. Blanketly giving in to that only encourages more of it. That's not a good idea. Legitimate issues, should be addressed and resolved, but not because some group killed a bunch of people in an attack, but because they are legitimate issues. Interestingly enough, a globalistic approach can make those sorts of decisions (figuring out what's best not just for your region, but for another region as well). Real Politic will never do that. They'll do only what is required to prevent damage to themselves, but will *never* act to "fix" something in another part of the world.
Kind of a rambling post, I admit. But I really think that many people have some grave misunderstandings of the motivations and goals of terrorists. This seems to lead to some very flawed ideas about how to "fix" the problem. IMO, you can't run from terrorism. Once it starts, it will continue unless you do something about it. One can also argue that terrorism occurs when civil unrest *would*, but is prevented by those evil globalists who are keeping things stable in the region. Unable to collapse their own governments and take power, they instead turn to terrorism to attack that which is seen as getting in their way. This certainly seems to explain nicely why so many Saudi's become terrorists. Sprinkle in a bit of religion, and it's pretty easy to recruit. But we have really only two choices. Abandon the region and allow it to collapse entirely into war (which it will), or find a way to destroy the terrorist groups themselves. While Europe may be happy to sit on the fence on this, someone has to take action. Unfortunately, that's logically going to end up being the US.