I know I'm gonna ***** this up.....
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Gbaji
He is most definately saying that santions are preventing Iraq from building those weapons, and by extension keeping the region safer.
Agreed, hence where he says the sanctions are working, he has been forced to dismantle, he is UNABLE to rebuild.
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Gbaji
In the later quote, he's not aruging the same issue. The choice now is "keep sanctions" or "Invade Iraq".
Wrong....the later quote is only from May 2001 and is in reference to sanctions expiring in June 2001. And Powell says,"The sanctions, as they are called, have succeeded over the last 10 years, not in deterring him from moving in that direction, but from actually being able to move in that direction. The Iraqi regime militarily remains fairly weak. It doesn't have the capacity it had 10 or 12 years ago. It has been contained. And even though we have no doubt in our mind that the Iraqi regime is pursuing programs to develop weapons of mass destruction -- chemical, biological and nuclear -- I think the best intelligence estimates suggest that they have not been terribly successful. There's no question that they have some stockpiles of some of these sorts of weapons still under their control, but they have not been able to break out, they have not been able to come out with the capacity to deliver these kinds of systems or to actually have these kinds of systems that is much beyond where they were 10 years ago.
So containment, using this arms control sanctions regime, I think has been reasonably successful. We have not been able to get the inspectors back in, though, to verify that, and we have not been able to get the inspectors in to pull up anything that might be left there. So we have to continue to view this regime with the greatest suspicion, attribute to them the most negative motives, which is quite well-deserved with this particular regime, and roll the sanctions over, and roll them over in a way where the arms control sanctions really go after their intended targets -- weapons of mass destruction -- and not go after civilian goods or civilian commodities that we really shouldn't be going after, just let that go to the Iraqi people. That wasn't the purpose of the oil-for-food program. And by reconfiguring them in that way, I think we can gain support for this regime once again.
When we came into office on the 20th of January, the whole sanctions regime was collapsing in front of our eyes. Nations were bailing out on it. We lost the consensus for this kind of regime because the Iraqi regime had successfully painted us as the ones causing the suffering of the Iraqi people, when it was the regime that was causing the suffering. They had more than enough money; they just weren't spending it in the proper way. And we were getting the blame for it. So reconfiguring the sanctions, I think, helps us and continues to contain the Iraqi regime."
This cannot be misinterpreted....this cannot be spun....ok, you can try to spin it, but you will fail.
If by "In the later quote, he's not aruging the same issue. The choice now is "keep sanctions" or "Invade Iraq" you are referring to Powell's eventual about-face about Iraq being a threat, again, wrong....it isn't about keep sanctions or invade Iraq....we kept the sanctions, why? Because they were working. Powell went from Iraq is UNABLE to attack anyone, develop WMD's, blow up a ballon much less anything else, to HUZZAAAAA, 4 MORE WARS, YESSIR, Mr. PREEE-SIDENT! And neither he nor Rice have come forward and given any sort of explanation as to why they turned 180 degrees on the matter of Iraq being a threat.
This is important....when was the last time you REVERSED your decision about anything important in your life? Seriously, think about it, something important, buying a home, marrying someone, having kids, something big, that you were, like, NO WAY, and then went in the opposite direction on it. It doesn't happen often, and when you do, you've got damn good reasons why your old way of thinking was so off the beam, ya know?
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Gbaji
Ah the "But officer, lots of other people were speeding too!" argument. Try that sometime. It wont work.
Ummm, yeah, it does. In NY anyways, if you're going with the flow of traffic, and the cop decides to pull just you over, he better have a reason in addition to you were speeding.
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Gbaji
The difference is that Iraq had developed them in the past. It had used them in the past. It invaded another country in the recent past. It was under a cease fire, the terms of which required that they abandon pursuit of WMD. Thus, the fact that the leader of that country still clearly wants to continue WMD has more weight then just anyone else wanting to do the same thing. The terms of our cease fire with N. Korea do not require that they abandon pursuit of WMD. The terms of our cease fire with Iraq *did*. That's the difference. That's why we invaded Iraq, but not N. Korea (other reasons too, but out of the scope of this discussion).
No, the difference is you completely dodged my question...do you want our global policy to be, If you are even THINKING about WANTING to develop WMD's, we are coming after YOU, pal. And if by "abandon pursuit" you're going to try to argue that Iraq violated sanctions by WANTING....well, hell, gimme a break, k? N Korea was, is, and will be a bigger threat than Iraq sitting in the desert WISHING he could go ahead with WMD production ever would have been.
End of story.