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Poverty Levels are UpFollow

#77 Aug 28 2004 at 5:42 PM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
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Statistically, it's the rare exception to find someone who honestly works hard and has valuable skills but just can't make a higher then poverty wage
You mean you have real statistics on this? Can you link to them or cite them?


Nope. I don't have statistics on this. I doubt if anyone does. Whether or not someone "works hard" is subjective, so it'd be kind of hard to collect data on.

I'm meaning statistically in the sense that if you take a broad group, you'll find that more tend in one way then another. I used the word because if I just said: "It's the rare exception to find someone who honestly works hard...", someone inevitably would have pointed to how there are X number of people who lost their jobs last year and ended up in a shelter or something. It's "statistical" because I'm trying to look at the entire set of workers, not just a small sample in which someone can always find some that dont fit the norm.

May not have been the best term to use, but there you have it.


I base my statement purely on my own observations. I have *never* known someone who actually put a lot of effort into working and actually tried hard, and was actually competant (some people are just freaking morons btw), who still ended up working a minimum wage job. I've known *lots* of people who had crappy jobs. Every single one of them had horrible work habits, and thought of their job as something they really didn't want to do, so they'd do the absolute minimum needed to keep from getting fired (and they usually didn't succeed for long at that goal either). Those same people typically would blow their paychecks as soon as they got them, and often had to borrow money to make their rent as a result. If they get a credit card, they'd rack up as much as they could, and then just pay off the minimum payment (eternal debt if you do that btw). Look closely enough at someone who "cant" get a good job, or "can't" save money and get ahead in life, and you will almost always find that it's about them, not some inherent unfairness in the system.


I've just seen enough total slackers who have an excuse for why nothing is their fault that I have a healthy skepticism when people make that claim. I have *never* seen an example where it really wasn't their fault to some degree. Not once.
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#78 Aug 28 2004 at 5:51 PM Rating: Good
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Gbaji, you could have just changed the word "Statistically" to "By my observation" and saved yourself a whole lot of typing...

#79 Aug 28 2004 at 6:04 PM Rating: Good
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trickybeck the Sly wrote:
Gbaji, you could have just changed the word "Statistically" to "By my observation" and saved yourself a whole lot of typing...


Not really. Because then someone else could/would give one example that didn't match that observation and imply that the entire statement was wrong.

I was trying to convey the point that *if* you were to look at a broad group of people, you would find that the trend matches what I was saying. I was specifically trying to avoid the "but I can find an exception, so that's not the rule" type of counter argument. I suppose I could have said "By and large", or "as a general trend", or something like that. Whatever. Fill in whatever word you think best fits.
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#80 Aug 28 2004 at 6:06 PM Rating: Good
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Not necessarily, because no one but you can find an exception to your own observation.

"As a general trend" still requires statistics, in my book anyway, i.e. a mathematical trend.

#81 Aug 28 2004 at 6:20 PM Rating: Good
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trickybeck the Sly wrote:
Not necessarily, because no one but you can find an exception to your own observation.

"As a general trend" still requires statistics, in my book anyway, i.e. a mathematical trend.


Yeah. But "statistics" does not require that the data mentioned be collected by a third party. If I'm referring to a collection of personal observations and experiences, and I've seen a trend in those experiences, there's nothing wrong with talking about that trend (or even using the term statistics).

I agree that there is a general presumption of third party data when one uses the term statistics, which is why I agreed that it was probably not the best word to use. But if *I* observe something as a trend, I certainly have a right to present it was a trend. If I just say "In my experience", or "I have observed", I could be talking about as little as one data point. When I use terms like statistically, or trends, it's clear I'm talking about many instances of observations.


That's all I was trying to convey.


The important thing is: Do you agree or disagree with the assertion? It's all well and good to question my word choice, but what about the argument I was making? Do you think that most people who are unable to progress past minimum wage jobs are in that state becuase some external force overwhich they have no control is preventing them from doing so? Or do you think maybe it's as a result of actions/choices of their own?
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#82 Aug 28 2004 at 6:46 PM Rating: Good
Common sense would make one believe "...it's as a result of actions/choices of their own?"

There are those who have had success, fell to the bottom and have still not climbed out, because of a result of inaction no one is to blame for that but themselves. The system is flawed, but the system is not the root cause of keeping people in poverty.

Then there are those that started at the bottom, worked to success, and fell victim to economic downturns. These people have worked hard to climb back to relative comfortable positions in life accomplishing this because they did not give up and have not blamed the system for their situation. In fact by utilizing the system you can actually build success, even if you start out with nothing, you just need the drive and desire.
#83 Aug 28 2004 at 6:52 PM Rating: Excellent
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Common sense is not the same as statistical evidence; nor is personal observation.
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#84 Aug 28 2004 at 7:01 PM Rating: Good
Oh my goodness you're right. Thanks for stating the obvious.
#85 Aug 28 2004 at 7:29 PM Rating: Good
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Quote:
Gbaji, you could have just changed the word "Statistically" to "By my observation" and saved yourself a whole lot of typing...
Or changed it to "I'm just talking out of my *** here and saying what I think fits while presenting it as factual data..." and saved himself less typing but been more accurate Smiley: wink2
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#86 Aug 29 2004 at 2:24 AM Rating: Good
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Jophiel wrote:
Quote:
Gbaji, you could have just changed the word "Statistically" to "By my observation" and saved yourself a whole lot of typing...
Or changed it to "I'm just talking out of my *** here and saying what I think fits while presenting it as factual data..." and saved himself less typing but been more accurate Smiley: wink2


Sigh. Whatever. Anything to avoid the topic at hand I guess?

I'll say it again. Statistics don't require a 3rd party. If I make a series of observations of certain behaviors, I can talk about statistical probabilities within that set. When you questioned me on this, I presented the information I was basing my assessment on.

If your observations have been dramatically different and contradict what I've observed, please feel free to mention them and discuss them. Getting hung up on the word "statistics" is silly.


I'll ask again. Of the set of people working at the poverty line, what percentage would *you* say are skilled hardworking people who just can't get ahead due to purely external forces, and what percentage would you say are stuck there as the result of choices or habits of their own?
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#87 Aug 29 2004 at 2:40 AM Rating: Good
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Unlike you, I'm capable of saying I'm not qualified to to venture a sweeping guess based off of my own limited experience with the nation's 35.9 million people below the poverty level to say how many of them are lazy n'er-do-wells. If you think you are, I'd like to hear your qualifications, otherwise at least admit that you're talking out of your ***.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#88 Aug 29 2004 at 4:00 AM Rating: Default
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I'll say it again. Statistics don't require a 3rd party. If I make a series of observations of certain behaviors, I can talk about statistical probabilities within that set.


No, that's exactly what you can't do. It's called a self selected sample set and is one of the first things that would invalidate any conclusions.

Living next door to nine women serial killers wouldn't mean serial killers are more likely to be women.
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#89 Aug 29 2004 at 9:59 AM Rating: Good
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So you're saying that, statistically, people from San Diego aren't 100% likely to make stuff up as they go along? Because my self-observed dataset shows a definate trend in that direction.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#90 Aug 29 2004 at 12:02 PM Rating: Excellent
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Quote:
Oh my goodness you're right. Thanks for stating the obvious.


One thing I've learned hanging out here is that what's blatantly obvious to some will be a dark and hidden mystery to others. The fact that gbaji had just stated that personal observations are the same as statistics should have tipped you off.

At any rate, thank YOU for the lame attempt at sarcasm.
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#91 Aug 29 2004 at 12:59 PM Rating: Good
Any time Sam.
#92 Aug 29 2004 at 1:45 PM Rating: Decent
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Anyone care for some brie? I have crackers too.

Totem
#93 Aug 29 2004 at 1:47 PM Rating: Good
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So what you're telling me, Here'sJohnny, is that Varrus is the Hulk?

Totem
#94 Aug 29 2004 at 6:43 PM Rating: Decent
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Not Bill Bixby, Clayton Bixby (about halfway down the page). Apparently, you are no longer the boards only black republican.


Smiley: wink

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