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Polling update.Follow

#1 Aug 12 2004 at 1:37 PM Rating: Decent
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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x12887.xml

Kerry ahead in FL.

Kerry ahead in NV, which was thought to be locked for Bush and is now in play.

Kerry ahead in OH.

Kerry down by two points (inside the MOR) in Tenesee, thought to be locked up for Bush, now in play.

Kerry ahead in WV.

Kerry inside the MOR in VA which means I vote absentee and should make sure I'm still registered.

Kerry ahead in NH.

Kerry just outside the MOR in NC.

Bush ahead in KY by 10%, locked up.

Kerry up by 13% in CA, locked up.

Bush Job Perormance at it's lowest point since May, 56% neg 44% pos.

Kerry up in every poll in states where swiftboatvets adds aired.

Keep up the good work boys!
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#2 Aug 12 2004 at 1:39 PM Rating: Good
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Yay Kerry!

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#3 Aug 12 2004 at 1:39 PM Rating: Decent
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The swiftboat ads as in the ones that bash him? If so, yay!
#4 Aug 12 2004 at 1:40 PM Rating: Decent
Woo-hoo!!!!
#5 Aug 12 2004 at 1:41 PM Rating: Decent
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The swiftboat ads as in the ones that bash him? If so, yay!


Yup.

Apparently not swaying any votes to Bush and undecicdeds are still undecided.

The Nevada numbers and the VA numbers are the big surprises.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#6 Aug 12 2004 at 1:41 PM Rating: Decent
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~shrug~ As I have said. It doesn't matter who wins, we end up losing in the long run. Lets hope if the democrats do win this year, that the republicans come back with a candidate who is worth something! I would have hoped that democrats had.
#7 Aug 12 2004 at 1:42 PM Rating: Decent
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~shrug~ As I have said. It doesn't matter who wins, we end up losing in the long run.


You realize apathy in udecided voters is a specific goal of the GOP, right?
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#8 Aug 12 2004 at 2:12 PM Rating: Decent
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True, but I will still vote for Bush until Kerry comes up with a reason why he isn't a bigger idiot than Bush. So far, I'm not seeing much. Of course we still have a few months that he can prove himself to me.
#9 Aug 12 2004 at 2:13 PM Rating: Decent
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True, but I will still vote for Bush until Kerry comes up with a reason why he isn't a bigger idiot than Bush. So far, I'm not seeing much. Of course we still have a few months that he can prove himself to me.


Here's how it works. You decide you don't want to vote for Bush. You haven't decided to vote for Kerry. The GOP spends $100,000,000 on smearing Kerry to the point where you start to think "well, surely some of it must be true..."

You don't vote.
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Disclaimer:

To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#10 Aug 12 2004 at 2:15 PM Rating: Decent
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Oh, I'll vote. I have voted on every election since I turned 18. I know my duties as an American citizen. Not even an idiot like Bush and Kerry will keep me from voting. I just hope Kerry show a little bit more intelligence then Bush. Just one more point Kerry. Thats all you need!
#11 Aug 12 2004 at 2:21 PM Rating: Decent
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I just hope Kerry show a little bit more intelligence then Bush. Just one more point Kerry.


You could compare their grades at Yale!
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To make a long story short, I don't take any responsibility for anything I post here. It's not news, it's not truth, it's not serious. It's parody. It's satire. It's bitter. It's angsty. Your mother's a *****. You like to jack off dogs. That's right, you heard me. You like to grab that dog by the bone and rub it like a ski pole. Your dad? Gay. Your priest? Straight. **** off and let me post. It's not true, it's all in good fun. Now go away.

#12 Aug 12 2004 at 2:25 PM Rating: Decent
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Yep, and I can compare the amount of alchohol they consumed during their time at Yale. College is only a place to waste alot of money on a piece of paper, and to drink yourself into a stupor.
#13 Aug 12 2004 at 3:22 PM Rating: Decent
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Smasharoo wrote:

You realize apathy in udecided voters is a specific goal of the GOP, right?


What about apathy in decided non-voters?

I love being an obscurist.
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#14 Aug 12 2004 at 3:29 PM Rating: Excellent
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You could compare their grades at Yale!


Are those available? What about the course work?

Off to Google I go.
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#15 Aug 12 2004 at 3:30 PM Rating: Good
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I worked for one of the most reputable polling firms in North America just long enough not to trust any of them.

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#16 Aug 12 2004 at 3:32 PM Rating: Decent
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Well said Bhody. LOL! I can believe that without have to take a poll.
#17 Aug 13 2004 at 1:54 AM Rating: Good
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This is a true measure of Smash's desperate hope that Cash & Kerry might possibly make it fairly close in the election: He is openly using polling data at this stage in the campaign when he should certainly know better.

Kerry's gonna lose in November for sure, if this is any indication. Pray harder, Smash, 'cuz it ain't gonna happen. Oh, that's right, you don't have anyone to pray to. I guess that puts you up **** Creek without a paddle-- because that's the only way your candidate are going to win...

...by a freaking miracle.

Totem
#18 Aug 13 2004 at 7:04 AM Rating: Decent
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http://www.gallup.com/content/default.aspx?ci=12694
#19 Aug 13 2004 at 8:16 AM Rating: Decent
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The problem with polls is sure Kerry is going to win if you poll 1000 democrats. Unfortunately, there are a couple billion people in the US who think Kerry and Bush are idiots. Now we just have to decide who is the biggest idiot and not vote for him. The only think thats close is deciding who is the bigger idiot. Kerry 48%, Bush 47%.
#20 Aug 13 2004 at 8:35 AM Rating: Good
The big question is not what people think, but how they'll vote.

You know, those two should be the same thing, but I suspect they aren't.
#21 Aug 13 2004 at 8:39 AM Rating: Good
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Kerry's gonna lose in November for sure, if this is any indication. Pray harder, Smash, 'cuz it ain't gonna happen. Oh, that's right, you don't have anyone to pray to. I guess that puts you up **** Creek without a paddle-- because that's the only way your candidate are going to win...
Me thinks the lady doeth protest too much...

Anyway, I didn't really bother to look at Smash's link too closely but, yeah, about what Vic said. If half your polled people are in Texas and the other half in Mass. and you get about a 50/50 split, does that prove anything? The only real important states that even sort of matter for polling are the swing states.

Someone on the radio (that's all the cite I've got on this.. heh) was talking about the election and, despite his own pro-Bush stance, said what he thought was the truth based off the collected polling data: part of the reason we weren't seeing any real fluctuations or "bumps" was because most of the nation has already decided. For that matter, most of the urban swing vote is already decided. The only real undecided voters are the swing rural votes which is why you see both Kerry and Bush campaigning so hard in those areas -- last election this was a vote that Bush only claimed 6% of and Bush was going to have to seriously work to claim those votes (and the election) this year. Anyway, I don't have any of the numbers to back up what he was saying but it was interesting to listen to.
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#22 Aug 13 2004 at 8:42 AM Rating: Good
Smashed,

The point is the only people Kerry is attracting are the rabid Bush haters and people don't vote in numbers against someone, without an extreme event. In order for Kerry to win this election he has to give the 15% undecided a reason to vote for him. So far he's made a 4month stint approx 30yrs ago the focus of his resume for how he'll handle national defense, and that's being called into serious question. The fact is Bush will win handily because Kerry does not inspire people to achieve.

Varus
#23 Aug 13 2004 at 8:45 AM Rating: Decent
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Kerry doesn't inspire anything from what I have seen. Well, except for a few good skits on the comedy shows. At least he isn't talking about a "lock box." Of course neither does Bush. Scary isn't it?
#24 Aug 13 2004 at 11:07 AM Rating: Good
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No, Jophiel, my only point is that for all the various valid arguments Smash may have for voting and stumping for Kerry he makes a thread on polling data-- something as amourphous as the dump I took this morning: it takes on a different shape depending on how hard I push. Any number of factors influence the man-on-the-street's opinion at any given moment, from did he get laid last night, what he had for breakfast, whether or not it's raining, to important issues like how his job is working out. And when he begins touting the virtues of a snapshot outlook as evidence of his candidate's impending supremacy in November it smacks of desperation and wishful thinking.

Lol, even I haven't stooped to such blatant tactics to bolster the confidence of the party faithful.

Totem
#25 Aug 13 2004 at 11:19 AM Rating: Good
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Certainly no worse than the proliferation of links to Drudge pages and the like we get around here, eh?

Of course, we make fun of those as well so carry on Smiley: wink
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Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
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