Ok. Since you asked...
Ditiris wrote:
He did that since it helped his goal of getting approval for the war.
The bulk of the reason for going to war with Iraq was the suspicion that they were in possession of and developing WMD, and had the intent to distribute those weapons in order to use them against the US and our allies.
So, let me provide something from David Kay, the former chief U.S. arms inspector:
"Let me begin by saying we were almost all wrong and I certainly include myself here. ... My view was that the best evidence that I had seen was that Iraq indeed had weapons of mass destruction."
The question then, is why did this happen? How could so many intelligence reports be interpreted so inaccurately as to lead to war?
I think the answer is obvious.
If it's obvious, why not include your idea in the post? That would give me something to actually respond to. If you haven't figured it out yet, I get really annoyed when Smash plays "hide the argument" with me by responding with something deliberately vauge "Bush lied about Iraq", and then as I go through and argue against one "lie" and another, he keeps going: "But I'm not talking about that lie. I'm.. .Um... talking about the other one! yeah. Just keep guessing..."
Whatever. I'm not going to guess your reason then. You can present it if you want. I'll give you my reason though.
Intelligence is never 100%. It's about guesses based on a number of factors. We can get physical intelligence by looking (either in person, or more often via satellite and air surveilance). We can get intelligence by asking people (dubious quality, but you can assign probabilities to accuracy). We can get intelligence by making assessements based on past actions (essentially profiling).
It's not like Iraq allowed people to walk in and look. In fact, that was the problem. For 11 years, they'd been giving UN weapons inspectors the run around. Several factors are at play.
If you are hiding something, it usually means there's something of value to hide. Why give inspectors the runaround if the wouldn't have found anything anyway? Point 1 for thinking there are WMD in country.
We had *several* people defect who all said that Saddam had a working WMD program going. These were not random people. One was a member of Saddam's family, and another was a scientist who worked on WMD in Iraq at one point. Pretty solid. Point 2 for WMD in country.
It is absolutely known that Iraq did design, build, and use WMD in the past (bio and chem weapons). We have Red Cross reports of the aftermath of their use on Iranians in the 80s, and Kurdish villages right up to the first gulf war. The established habit of building and using them gives us a good indication that he'll do it again if he can. Point 3 for WMD in country, or at least the intent to do so if possible.
During the UN weapons inspections phase (91 to 2002), on several occasions, we had either ground intelligence photos and/or air/sat photos that showed us likely sites that could be weapons facilities. In every case, there would be delays getting the inspectors there from the Iraqi's, and we could literally watch as each day, every thing in the photos that looked like a weapons factory was removed and replaced with a hospital. By the time the UN inspectors would show up, there'd be nothing there for them to find. Suspicous? You bet. Point 4 for there being WMD in country.
That's what we had in a condensed form. Each of those four points represents a number of incidents of similar intelligence. It was literally a mountain of evidence.
Um. But it's still just evidence. The people we talked to could have been lying, or could have simply been misinformed. The sites we saw could have been facilities that the Iraqi's didn't want anyone to see, but were not WMD production plants as we suspected. The Iraqi's could have chosen to change their past methods and abandon building WMD. It's all possible, but the evidence was pretty strong that they did have WMD, and would build more if sanctions were lifted.
If this were a legal case, there was plenty of evidence for a warrant. You can argue whether that justifies a war or not, but the evidence was still there.
Um. And since I suspect what you're going to say next. This was not just US intelligence. We were getting the similar information from Brittish intelligence, and Russian intelligence. It's not like Bush fudged their intel...